Guessors

In this episode, James talks about the Sweat Economy (e.g., SWEAT token) and Near Protocol. These platforms have the potential to improve population health by paying people to take more walks - simple but powerful.This type of model (engage-to-earn) appears to be a perfect recipe for on-boarding new web3 users.

Forecast:

The SWEAT token and Near Protocol will continue to onboard web3 users at an accelerated pace.

Find me on social:

--> https://twitter.com/TopGuessor

--> https://www.linkedin.com/in/jameshaven/

Links:

https://sweateconomy.com/

https://near.org/

In this episode, James talks about the ingredients and design of decentralized autonomous organizations, whether DAOs are the next step in corporate evolution, and highlights the rise of Constitution DAO and Krause House.

Forecast:

Krause House will gain minority ownership of a professional sports team before the end of 2023.

Find me on social:

--> https://twitter.com/TopGuessor

--> https://www.linkedin.com/in/jameshaven/

Links:

https://www.constitutiondao.com/

https://www.krausehouse.club/

The 2022 French election is heating up! In this episode, James discusses the challenges faced by Emmanuel Macron, the dominating issue of uncontrolled immigration, and the rise of right-wing candidates like Eric Zemmour.

Forecast:

I bet Macron will lose the 2022 French election (going against crowd sentiment here).

Find me on social media:

-> https://twitter.com/TopGuessor

-> https://www.linkedin.com/in/jameshaven/

Links:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2017_French_presidential_election

https://www.theguardian.com/world/ng-interactive/2021/nov/18/french-election-polls-who-is-leading-the-race-to-be-the-next-president-of-france

https://jacobinmag.com/2021/08/emmanuel-macron-france-startup-nation-business

https://cafe.com/stay-tuned-podcast/

https://www.newsmax.com/newsfront/trump-voters-polling-errors/2020/09/23/id/988448/

Congress passed the infrastructure bill and it's happy times for EV! In this episode, James discusses electric vehicles (EVs) and charging companies, the bull case for EV charging networks, how to use put options to open stock positions, and the limitations of mainstream investing advice.

Forecast:

A bright outlook for EV charging companies in 2022 and beyond

Find me on social media:

-> https://twitter.com/TopGuessor

-> https://www.linkedin.com/in/jameshaven/

Links:

https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/11/10/why-ev-charging-stock-evgo-jumped-again-today/

https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/companies/evgo-shares-surge-on-general-motors-ev-charging-network-deal/ar-AAQuPdO

https://www.msn.com/en-us/autos/news/hertz-ceo-talks-tesla-deal-wants-to-lead-ev-adoption/ar-AAQxWbL

https://www.digitaltrends.com/cars/is-your-ev-actually-powered-by-coal/

https://www.edmunds.com/ford/f-150-lightning/

Google Tilt Brush and Multibrush (open source, multi-player version of original Tilt Brush) are amazing VR apps that can be used to create personalized VR environments (or mind rooms) that facilitate greater concentration, productivity, or a sense of peace & well-being.

In episode 6, James talks about the metaverse, Marc Andreesen's thoughts on "Reality Privilege", and how existing VR apps can lead to quality-of-life improvements.

Find me on social media:

-> https://www.linkedin.com/in/jameshaven

-> https://twitter.com/TopGuessor

Links:

-> https://about.fb.com/news/2021/10/facebook-company-is-now-meta/

-> https://niccolo.substack.com/p/the-dubrovnik-interviews-marc-andreessen

-> https://techjury.net/blog/virtual-reality-statistics/

Apple is rumored to enter the VR headset market with a very high price point

Virtual reality is taking off this year thanks to sky high sales of the new Oculus Quest 2 headset, which offers standalone VR experiences (no pc or game console required!) that targets a wide range of potential consumers.

Rumors are swirling about a super advanced and high-priced Apple VR headset set to debut in 2022.

Top forecasting question:

What will be the price point for Apple's new VR headset?

Find me on social media:

-> https://www.linkedin.com/in/jameshaven

-> https://twitter.com/TopGuessor

Links:

-> https://uploadvr.com/kuo-apple-vr-1000-ar-2025/

-> https://techjury.net/blog/virtual-reality-statistics/

The new Ford Bronco is a real competitor to the Jeep Wrangler in the United States.

In episode 4, James talks about: (1) current & future sales for the Ford Bronco & Jeep Wrangler, (2) a core group of potential jeep buyers, (3) the semiconductor chip shortage, (4) new & used car prices in 2021, and (5) public data on car sales in the US.

Top forecasting questions:

-> Will the new Bronco reach 25% of Wrangler sales in 2022?

-> Will the new Bronco eventually beat Wrangler sales?

Find me on social media:

-> https://www.linkedin.com/in/jameshaven

-> https://twitter.com/TopGuessor

Links:

-> https://www.metaculus.com/questions/

-> https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020%E2%80%932021_global_chip_shortage

-> https://www.cnet.com/roadshow/news/average-new-car-costs-price-increase/

The price of crytpocurrency Floki Inu skyrocketed this past year.

In this episode, James talks about the drivers of Floki Inu price, the influence of Elon Musk, the highly engaged Floki community, Tokenomics, and Floki's 2022 market cap.

Top forecasting question:

Will Floki Inu reach a market cap of at least $1 billion in 2022?

Find me on social media:

My LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/jameshaven/

My Twitter: https://twitter.com/vanilla_SIM

Links:

Joe Rogan chats with Elon Musk: https://podcastnotes.org/joe-rogan-experience/elon-musk-on-the-joe-rogan-experience-1609/

Official Floki Inu site: https://theflokiinu.com/

Impossible Foods is blowing up with new products and corporate partnerships. In this episode, James talks about livestock reduction, critics of Impossible Foods, the soil-is-gold ethos, farmer Bill Gates and ecophilanthropy, and Impossible Foods IPO anticipations.

Top forecasting questions

Will Impossible Foods go public next year?

Should we buy the stock? - I will :)

Find my on social media

-> https://www.linkedin.com/in/jameshaven

-> https://twitter.com/vanilla_SIM

Links

-> https://unfccc.int/climate-action/momentum-for-change/planetary-health/impossible-foods

Welcome to the first episode of Guessors.

Topics include news, technology, society and culture - with a focus on forecasting.

NYC is launching a new program to pay doctors to speak with un-vaccinated patients, in hopes of upping the City and State's total vaccination counts.

You can download the forecast app for your iphone or android mobile device, and make your prediction on whether this program will work.

I have my doubts :)

Find me on social media:

-> https://www.linkedin.com/in/jameshaven

-> https://twitter.com/vanilla_SIM

And here are some show links:

-> https://www.forecastapp.net/

-> https://www.augur.net/

-> https://www.gjopen.com/questions

-> https://www1.nyc.gov/site/doh/about/press/pr2021/health-dept-announces-35-million-program.page