Week 1: Expecting a mixed reporting season

Peak profitability over for the banks

The big four banks have reported strong profits this season on the back of interest rate hikes. However, mounting pressures on net interest margins and increased competition are squeezing bank profits, signaling an end to the good times for Australian banks.

In this Reporting Season Bank Special, our Head of Australian Equities, Brad Potter, discusses the major headwinds affecting the sector and his outlook for the coming six months.

Week 4: Coles' margins tighten, Iluka guides higher

Last week saw Coles report a result that met expectations, but the supermarket retailer's outlook commentary was met with a tepid market response reflecting a challenging operating environment. 

By contrast, Insignia Financial and Iluka Resources announced results that caught investors by surprise (positively!), with both companies well-placed moving into FY24.

With the end to the August reporting period fast approaching, inflation, labour shortages, weakness in China and the Ukraine war continue to weigh heavily. So where to now for Australian markets?

Brad Potter, Tyndall AM’s Head of Australian Equities, gives his take in the final episode of the August 2022 4-Minute Monday podcast.

Week 3: BHP and Santos confirm cash flow bonanza

The third week of the August rush saw a wave of earnings updates from Australian corporates. 

BHP was a genuine standout, with outstanding cash flow performance helping to support a pristine balance sheet despite still finding room for a stellar dividend which represented an 8.6% yield for the half and almost 16% for the full year (including franking). 

Separately, Santos announced a tripling of profits and a near doubling of free cash flow, while Downer delivered a result largely in line with expectations. So why was the market's response so tepid to both results? 

Brad Potter, Tyndall AM’s Head of Australian Equities, gives his take on these companies and more in the penultimate episode of the August 2022 4-Minute Monday podcast.

Week 2: QBE delivers, but big banks disappoint

Week two of the August reporting period saw QBE deliver a strong first half result that suggests upside in both valuation and earnings, with strong top line momentum and above-inflation premium rises a feature.

The big banks in CBA and NAB didn't quite deliver, however, with cost pressures a thematic that are likely to play out over the next 1-2 years across the sector. Net Interest Margins, though, are set to expand in the coming quarter as Australia's banks take full advantage of RBA rate hikes. 

But the biggest news this week may well have come from a company which is yet to report, with BHP's stunning $8.3bn takeover offer for Oz Minerals' rejected outright. Is there merit in a combination? Is a higher offer in the works? 

Brad Potter, Tyndall AM’s Head of Australian Equities, discusses this and more in episode two of the August 2022 4-Minute Monday podcast.

Week 1: Expecting a mixed reporting season

This coming reporting period follows an extraordinary period of monetary tightening across the globe, with many corporates continuing to grapple with huge spikes in wage and input cost inflation. 

Despite some recent easing in supply chain stresses brought about by the Russia-Ukraine conflict, concerns of recession in the major economies continue to build.  

Against such a challenging backdrop, what can we expect to learn in the coming weeks from the listed market? Are resets to earnings expectations likely to feature? Will dividends and capital management be shuttered? 

Brad Potter, Tyndall AM’s Head of Australian Equities, details his views in episode one of the August 2022 4-Minute Monday podcast.