IG trading the markets

The latest US inflation prints and comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell could really change Fed rate cut expectations. Tematica CIO Chris Versace explains how this might change the mood of the markets. He also catches up with IG’s Angeline Ong to discuss the latest significant hike in UStariffs on Chinese cars, chips, and the upcoming Google I/O conference.

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Despite US earnings winding down there are two all-sessions stocks to watch in the coming week: WalMart (WMT) and Cisco Systems (CSCO). On the economic agenda the big dollar pivot point is widely expected to be Wednesday’s release of US consumer pricwes. The Fed has aleready warned that it’s seeing stronger data and this remains around inflation. That could see a return to USDF strength.

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Boeing’s Starliner launch was delayed due to a rocket glitch, but this is just one of many setbacks for the planemaker. The Federal Aviation Administration has opened new investigation into 787 inspections. Plus, probes surrounding the January door-plug incident continue. Tematica Research CIO Chris Versace believes it will take time before Boeing convinces its investors it has managed to get its house in order.

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With the OECD having given its thoughts on global interest rates it says both the Bank of England (BoE) and the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) should keep rates higher for longer. While neither is expected to move traders will be keen to hear what each central bank has to say about the outlook. Also on the economic agenda is the first look at UK GDP for the first quarter. Will the economy have emerged from a shallow recession at the end of last year? On the corporate agenda, there’s a short list of companies to watch including Walt Disney (DIS), Airbnb (ABNB) and IAG.

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Many tech companies are looking to diversify their revenue streams by powering the AI revolution. One such company is Canada-based data centre company Hive Digital Technology. IG’s Angeline Ong caught up with HIVE’s CEO Aydin Kilic to find out why they have evolved into an ‘infrastructure as a service’ business, utilising hydroelectric energy from Sweden and Canada and geothermal power from Iceland.

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We’re looking at another busy week ahead. FX traders will have the best opportunity to make money, although earnings are still high on the agenda. By the end of the week, we’ll have a good idea on how the US jobs market is going with payrolls from both the private sector ADP release and labour department numbers with non-farm payrolls. There are also job openings with the JOLTS data. This will all go hand in hand with the US Federal Reserve on a US rate decision on Wednesday. The US dollar will doubtless be at the forefront there. Then the euro is in focus on Tuesday with German and eurozone Q1 GDP, German retail sales and jobs and French CPI. Corporate that could be on the move include all-session US stocks Coca-Cola (KO),Amazon.com(AMZN), McDonald’s (MCD), Pfizer (PFE), and Apple (APPL).In Europe we have HSBC (HSBA), GSK (GSK), Shell (SHEL), Stellantis (STEL), Volkswagen (VOW), Adidas (ADS), and SocGen (GLE).

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Trial results from Eli Lilly add to a growing body of evidence that suggests GLP-1 drugs, which include treatments like Lilly’s Mounjaro and Novo Nordisk’s Wegovy have medical benefits beyond diabetes and weight loss. Tematica CIO Chris Versace explains how these so-called ‘diabesity drugs‘ could affect healthcare and why their impact, positive and negative, could not be known for some time. He also discusses the impact of oil prices on monetary policy and Netflix.

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It’s a week where earning dominate with plenty of stocks on the IG list of all-sessions coverage. Some of the big US companies include Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet (GOOG), Tesla (TSLA) Exxon Mobil (XOM), Chevron (CVX), Intel (INTC) and Ford Motor (F) to name just a few. Then in Europe Shell Oil (SHEL), Barclays (BARC), Lloyds Banking Gp (LLOY), NatWest (NWB), Unilever (ULVR), BNP Paribas (BNP) and Nestlé (NESN) as just some of those in Europe to watch. Economic data includes a raft of flash PMI from Japan, US, UK, eurozone, France, Germany etc. There’s also a first look at Q1 GDP in the US, ahead of the US rate decision the following week, and finally the Bank of Japan rate decision. The Japanese central bank has plenty of reasons to less hawkish that was originally thought at the start of the year.

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With almost every US data point from jobs to manufacturing and commodities prices showing upward price pressures remain, should there be an interest rate hike instead of a cut? Tematica CIO Chris Versace says he thinks the Fed can sit and wait on rates for now, without having to cut until the risk of rising inflation has truly eased.

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It’s back, front and centre, US quarterly earnings. Following the release on Friday of Q1 numbers from JP Morgan (JPM), Citigroup (C) and Wells Fargo (WFC), it’s the turn this week of Goldman Sachs (GS), Bank of America (BAC), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ, Procter & Gamble (PG) and Netflix (NFLX) amongst others. Watchout out for all these as they all trade all session on the IG platform to enable clients to take advantage. Meanwhile in Europe LVMH (MC) and ASML (ASML) lead the charge. Economic data may also provide opportunities for FX traders with US retail sales, UK jobs data and inflation while in China a raft of data including Q1 GDP, retail sales and industrial production. The big question there is will it provide the authorities with enough evidence of the need for state support?

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